In the big game, they nearly didn't have time for a comeback.
The Chiefs (15-4) trailed 24-0 and 17-7 in their previous playoff games, both in the first half. Everybody on this team, no one had their head down. The 24-year-old quarterback who was selected Super Bowl MVP, led the Chiefs to 21 straight points in the final 6:13 for a 31-20 victory Sunday over the San Francisco 49ers. Patrick Mahomes needed just the waning minutes of Super Bowl 54 to end a whole lot of frustration.Ī championship 50 years in the making for the Kansas City Chiefs.Ī two-decade wait for an NFL title for coach Andy Reid.Īll it took was falling behind by double digits in the postseason, again. NFL, Kansas City Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers
#SUPER BOWL SCORE AFTER 1ST QUARTER DOWNLOAD#
Still haven't set up a squares pool for Super Bowl 54? Download and print a blank squares sheet here.Mahomes leads Chiefs' rally past 49ers in Super Bowl, 31-20 It's tough for a final digit to land on 0 once each team passes 20, while it's more likely a team finishes with 28 or 38 at the end of the game. The biggest changes over the course of the game is the decline of 0 and the rise of 8. The third quarter isn't all that different from the second - we start to see 3s decline, since those are less likely after teams cross 13 points. Probabilities do level out a little as the game goes on. But they have a much worse chance of hitting than in the first quarter. The best numbers for the second quarter are still 0-0 and 7-0.
Three combinations (0-0, 0-3, 0-7) make up 32 Super Bowl first quarter scores, while there have been 33 different final score combinations, including 3-3 last year in New England's 13-3 win. So the most likely numbers are 0s, 3s and 7s. But in the first quarter, those events are less likely. Things like missed extra points, 2-point conversions and multiple field goals can give you some weird final numbers. Variance increases as a game progresses, so probabilities for the first quarter are different than for the final score. Since the betting market has the Chiefs and 49ers almost dead-even, it shouldn't matter much. There are more likely finishing scores for winning teams than losing teams. Does It Matter Which Team I Have For Each Number? Traditional football numbers like 0, 1, 4 and 7 aren’t occurring at the same rates that they were between 19 - those numbers are collectively down about 8% over the past five seasons. Unique game scores are at an all-time high since the NFL pushed the extra point back in 2015, which caused more misses and trickled down to more 2-point conversions.
What If I Have Weird, Terrible, Non-Football Numbers?Īnyone with 5-2 or 2-2 isn't dead yet. Koerner simulated each quarter (which we'll touch on below) and added the probabilities up to determine that these are the best overall numbers: The best Super Bowl squares are exactly what you'd expect: 7-0, 0-0, 7-7, 3-0 - aka any numbers that are easy fits with touchdowns and field goals. You can download and print a blank squares sheet here. Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, simulated Super Bowl 54 using his models to determine the likelihood of each square winning in each quarter. That's why squares pools are randomized and there's no selection process. Bet San Francisco or Kansas City to Win at 54-1 Odds at BetMGM in New Jersey Read nowįootball lends itself to certain final digits based on how points are scored, so some boxes will give you a much better chance of winning.
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